ربات آربیتراژ

ترید اتوماتیک با هوش مصنوعی ربات آربیتراژ GHOODA ربات قطعا سودده

ربات آربیتراژ

ترید اتوماتیک با هوش مصنوعی ربات آربیتراژ GHOODA ربات قطعا سودده

صندوق طلا یا طلای فیزیکی؟

  • برای سرمایه‌گذاری بهتر است صندوق طلا بخریم یا سکه و طلا؟
  • مزایای خرید صندوق طلا چیست؟
  • معایب صندوق طلا چیست؟
  • مقایسه صندوق طلا با طلای فیزیکی و سکه

 

برای سرمایه‌گذاری بهتر است صندوق طلا بخریم یا سکه و طلا؟

در این مطلب قصد داریم به مقایسه دو کلاس دارایی مختلف یعنی صندوق سرمایه گذاری در طلا و طلای فیزیکی بپردازیم. به‌زبان ساده خرید طلا و سکه سودآورتر است یا اینکه در بورس صندوق طلا بخریم. پیش از هر چیز بیایید کمی با صندوق طلا آشنا شویم.


قبلاً به‌طور مفصل درباره انواع صندوق‌های سرمایه‌گذاری صحبت کرده‌ایم. صندوق طلا یکی از انواع صندوق های سرمایه گذاری کالایی است. به‌طورکلی صندوق را می‌توان آیینه‌شده‌ی یک کلاس دارایی روی تابلوی بورس در نظر گرفت. صندوق طلا مشخصاً روی اوراق مبتنی بر طلا سرمایه گذاری می‌کند. بنابراین وقتی شما چنین دارایی را از بورس می‌خرید درست مثل این است که به طلافروشی بروید و گوشواره و گردنبند یا سکه بخرید! البته تفاوت‌هایی هم وجود دارد که در ادامه به آن می‌پردازیم.

مزایای خرید صندوق طلا چیست؟

  • نگهداری کم‌خطر: طلای فیزیکی همیشه یک نگرانی همراه خود دارد و آن نحوه نگهداری ایمنش است. ولی در صندوق طلا چنین دغدغه‌ای وجود نخواهد داشت.
  • کارمزد کمتر: کارمزد خرید طلا چیزی حدود یک تا دو درصد قیمت آن است. درحالی‌که کارمزد خرید واحدهای صندوق طلا حدوداً بین ۱/۰ تا ۱۵/۰ درصد است. یعنی تقریباً یک‌دهم کارمزد خرید طلای فیزیکی.
  • خرید با سرمایه‌های خیلی کوچک: قیمت سکه بهار آزادی در روز نگارش این مقاله، ۱۱,۵۰۰,۰۰۰ تومان و قیمت ربع سکه هم در همین روز، ۳,۵۰۰,۰۰۰ تومان است. ولی واحدهای صندوق های طلا را می‌توانید با حداقل ۵۰۰,۰۰۰ تومان بخرید.
  • نقدشوندگی بالا: صندوق های طلا معمولاً خیلی راحت در بورس خرید و فروش می‌شوند. ضمن‌آنکه وجود بازارگردان‌ها هم این روند را تسهیل کرده است و اگر بخواهید واحدهای صندوق طلای خود را به‌فروش برسانید بعید است بیش از پنج دقیقه زمان نیاز داشته باشید.
  • قابلیت نوسان‌گیری: طلا هم مثل بقیه دارایی‌ها همیشه در حال نوسان قیمت است. حرفه‌ای‌های بورس از این موقعیت برای کسب سود بیشتر استفاده می‌کنند. البته این کار برای کسانی که تجربه‌ی زیادی در بازار سرمایه ندارند به‌هیچ‌وجه توصیه نمی‌شود.

معایب صندوق طلا چیست؟

ریسک‌هایی که صندوق طلا را تهدید می‌کند، همان ریسک‌هایی است که قیمت طلا و دلار را تهدید می‌کند و تفاوتی با طلای فیزیکی ندارد.

مقایسه صندوق طلا با طلای فیزیکی و سکه

صندوق‌های طلا برای آنکه ریسک سرمایه گذاری را بکاهند بخشی از منابع خود را اوراق قرضه، اوراق مشتقه و سپرده‌های با درآمد ثابت سرمایه‌ گذاری می‌کنند. آنها با این کار در تلاشند تا ریسک خرید صندوق را نسبت‌به طلای فیزیکی هم کمتر کنند. ولی باید در نظر داشته باشید که درنهایت بازدهی طلای فیزیکی و سکه تفاوت زیادی با صندوق طلا ندارد.

در تصویر زیر نمودار قیمت طلای ۱۸ عیار را با سه صندوق طلای معروف بازارِ سرمایه یعنی «گوهر»، «زر» و «طلا»، در یک سال گذشته را مقایسه کرده‌ایم. همانطور که می‌بینید روند قیمتی آنچنان تفاوتی ندارد. در بعضی مواقع قیمت طلای فیزیکی مقدار کمی از قیمت صندوق ها پیش می‌افتد و بعضی مواقع قیمت صندوق ها از طلای فیزیکی پیشی می‌گیرد. ولی حتی زمان‌هایی که رشد قیمت طلای فیزیکی از صندوق ها بیشتر است، هزینه‌ی کارمزد معامله‌ی آن باعث می‌شود تا صندوق به‌صرفه‌تر به‌نظر برسد.

نکته بسیار مهم : قیمت صندوق های طلا براساس قیمت معامله‌ی آنها در بازار در نظر گرفته شده است و نه برمبنای NAV صندوق.

خرید طلا یکی از روش‌های سرمایه گذاری مرسوم و پرطرفدار است. ولی دغدغه‌ها و معایبی دارد که عمده‌ی آنها به نگهداری فیزیکی آنها برمی‌گردد. ولی خرید صندوق طلا به‌جای خرید فیزیکی آن می‌تواند این دغدغه را از بین ببرد. ضمن‌آنکه با توجه به مقایسه نرخ کارمزد در این دو روش، همچنین نقدشوندگی و امکان خرید با سرمایه‌ی کمتر در صندوق های طلا، خرید آنها سودآورتر و راحت‌تر از خرید طلای فیزیکی خواهد بود.

مدیریت ذهن با تفکر و خلاقیت

  • برای سرمایه‌گذاری بهتر است صندوق طلا بخریم یا سکه و طلا؟
  • مزایای خرید صندوق طلا چیست؟
  • معایب صندوق طلا چیست؟
  • مقایسه صندوق طلا با طلای فیزیکی و سکه

 

برای سرمایه‌گذاری بهتر است صندوق طلا بخریم یا سکه و طلا؟

در این مطلب قصد داریم به مقایسه دو کلاس دارایی مختلف یعنی صندوق سرمایه گذاری در طلا و طلای فیزیکی بپردازیم. به‌زبان ساده خرید طلا و سکه سودآورتر است یا اینکه در بورس صندوق طلا بخریم. پیش از هر چیز بیایید کمی با صندوق طلا آشنا شویم.


قبلاً به‌طور مفصل درباره انواع صندوق‌های سرمایه‌گذاری صحبت کرده‌ایم. صندوق طلا یکی از انواع صندوق های سرمایه گذاری کالایی است. به‌طورکلی صندوق را می‌توان آیینه‌شده‌ی یک کلاس دارایی روی تابلوی بورس در نظر گرفت. صندوق طلا مشخصاً روی اوراق مبتنی بر طلا سرمایه گذاری می‌کند. بنابراین وقتی شما چنین دارایی را از بورس می‌خرید درست مثل این است که به طلافروشی بروید و گوشواره و گردنبند یا سکه بخرید! البته تفاوت‌هایی هم وجود دارد که در ادامه به آن می‌پردازیم.

مزایای خرید صندوق طلا چیست؟

  • نگهداری کم‌خطر: طلای فیزیکی همیشه یک نگرانی همراه خود دارد و آن نحوه نگهداری ایمنش است. ولی در صندوق طلا چنین دغدغه‌ای وجود نخواهد داشت.
  • کارمزد کمتر: کارمزد خرید طلا چیزی حدود یک تا دو درصد قیمت آن است. درحالی‌که کارمزد خرید واحدهای صندوق طلا حدوداً بین ۱/۰ تا ۱۵/۰ درصد است. یعنی تقریباً یک‌دهم کارمزد خرید طلای فیزیکی.
  • خرید با سرمایه‌های خیلی کوچک: قیمت سکه بهار آزادی در روز نگارش این مقاله، ۱۱,۵۰۰,۰۰۰ تومان و قیمت ربع سکه هم در همین روز، ۳,۵۰۰,۰۰۰ تومان است. ولی واحدهای صندوق های طلا را می‌توانید با حداقل ۵۰۰,۰۰۰ تومان بخرید.
  • نقدشوندگی بالا: صندوق های طلا معمولاً خیلی راحت در بورس خرید و فروش می‌شوند. ضمن‌آنکه وجود بازارگردان‌ها هم این روند را تسهیل کرده است و اگر بخواهید واحدهای صندوق طلای خود را به‌فروش برسانید بعید است بیش از پنج دقیقه زمان نیاز داشته باشید.
  • قابلیت نوسان‌گیری: طلا هم مثل بقیه دارایی‌ها همیشه در حال نوسان قیمت است. حرفه‌ای‌های بورس از این موقعیت برای کسب سود بیشتر استفاده می‌کنند. البته این کار برای کسانی که تجربه‌ی زیادی در بازار سرمایه ندارند به‌هیچ‌وجه توصیه نمی‌شود.

معایب صندوق طلا چیست؟

ریسک‌هایی که صندوق طلا را تهدید می‌کند، همان ریسک‌هایی است که قیمت طلا و دلار را تهدید می‌کند و تفاوتی با طلای فیزیکی ندارد.

مقایسه صندوق طلا با طلای فیزیکی و سکه

صندوق‌های طلا برای آنکه ریسک سرمایه گذاری را بکاهند بخشی از منابع خود را اوراق قرضه، اوراق مشتقه و سپرده‌های با درآمد ثابت سرمایه‌ گذاری می‌کنند. آنها با این کار در تلاشند تا ریسک خرید صندوق را نسبت‌به طلای فیزیکی هم کمتر کنند. ولی باید در نظر داشته باشید که درنهایت بازدهی طلای فیزیکی و سکه تفاوت زیادی با صندوق طلا ندارد.

در تصویر زیر نمودار قیمت طلای ۱۸ عیار را با سه صندوق طلای معروف بازارِ سرمایه یعنی «گوهر»، «زر» و «طلا»، در یک سال گذشته را مقایسه کرده‌ایم. همانطور که می‌بینید روند قیمتی آنچنان تفاوتی ندارد. در بعضی مواقع قیمت طلای فیزیکی مقدار کمی از قیمت صندوق ها پیش می‌افتد و بعضی مواقع قیمت صندوق ها از طلای فیزیکی پیشی می‌گیرد. ولی حتی زمان‌هایی که رشد قیمت طلای فیزیکی از صندوق ها بیشتر است، هزینه‌ی کارمزد معامله‌ی آن باعث می‌شود تا صندوق به‌صرفه‌تر به‌نظر برسد.

نکته بسیار مهم : قیمت صندوق های طلا براساس قیمت معامله‌ی آنها در بازار در نظر گرفته شده است و نه برمبنای NAV صندوق.

جمع‌بندی

خرید طلا یکی از روش‌های سرمایه گذاری مرسوم و پرطرفدار است. ولی دغدغه‌ها و معایبی دارد که عمده‌ی آنها به نگهداری فیزیکی آنها برمی‌گردد. ولی خرید صندوق طلا به‌جای خرید فیزیکی آن می‌تواند این دغدغه را از بین ببرد. ضمن‌آنکه با توجه به مقایسه نرخ کارمزد در این دو روش، همچنین نقدشوندگی و امکان خرید با سرمایه‌ی کمتر در صندوق های طلا، خرید آنها سودآورتر و راحت‌تر از خرید طلای فیزیکی خواهد بود.

Management of environmental information by memories, associations and beliefs

  • The quality of energy stored in our mind has two components: First, its polarity, which can be positive, negative, or neutral. Second, its intensity, which ranges from maximum positive to maximum negative.
  • Association is a natural feature in the way humans think. That is, our brain cells are connected in such a way that they automatically associate similar environmental information.
  • Association is an automatic process in which information is organized in our mental system.
  • Perception means recognizing something through the five senses in the external environment, which we have already learned about.
  • Our mental energy works with the five senses to isolate, categorize, and organize environmental information based on distinctions we already recognize.
  • Distinctions are agents of separation of environmental information, and without them, information is too general.
  • What we experience from the environment around us originates from within us, not from events and the external environment.
  • Beliefs create definitions and distinctions in our minds, and also manage our perception of the environment.
  • Fear is a lot of negatively charged energy that limits our information range. In other words, fear is a defense mechanism that aims to help us avoid things that we have learned to perceive as threats.

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Our experiences are stored as memories containing electrical energy

As we said about the trader’s mental environment and the need to know its nature and components, what we receive on the physical level and through our five powers, becomes energy or electrical messages and is sent to the brain through the nervous system connected to the receiving organ. is sent From the moment of birth, our existence as a force affects the environment around us

Our body occupies a space that cannot be occupied by another thing or person. On the other hand, the physical environment also affects our senses and as a result, a cause and effect relationship is established between us and our surroundings. The experiences created from our interaction with the environment are transformed into electrical energy messages that can be positive or negative.

Consider a child who cries. The cry of this child affects the environment as a force, or to be more precise, the child creates a sound that reaches the ears of all the people around and affects them. The way the people around him react creates an experience for the child that will determine the electrical charge and the quality of the energy associated with this memory in his mind. Energy quality means positive or negative, as well as the degree of intensity of energy that is recorded in the mind in relation to each experience.

Consider the same example of a child. If the environment responds to the child’s cry with a kind and loving hug, this experience will be stored in his mind with a positive charge, and its intensity depends on the intensity of the effect that the environment’s response has on the child’s senses. So, in general, the quality of energy stored in our mind has two components: First, its polarity, which can be positive, negative, or neutral.

Second, its intensity, which ranges from maximum positive to maximum negative. Energy quality is an important concept that should be well understood because it forms the type of beliefs we have about the nature of the surrounding environment and is very effective on our perception and how we react to the environment. Positive energy from pleasant experiences is constructive. By creating a sense of self-confidence, this energy promotes education and mental growth, and as a result, it becomes a factor for searching and discovering the unknown.

The meaning of the unknown is everything that exists as a possibility or opportunity in the physical environment, but has not yet been established in our minds. This energy creates a desire in us to interact more with the environment and create more experiences. The more we experience, the more we learn about the true nature of the environment and the better we can interact with it.

In fact, positive memories make us feel confident to take steps to gain new experiences and develop our minds. On the other hand, negative energy, which is caused by a painful reaction from the surrounding environment, is a limiting and inhibiting force, unlike positive energy.

The general result of a negative experience is to create a negatively charged memory in the mind, which in turn creates fear. Fear prevents the acquisition of new experiences and learning, which itself causes failure, unhappiness and dissatisfaction, and repetition of negative experiences. As a trader, you must be able to look at the market with an unbiased view. To do this, you need to learn how to identify the subtle fears that unconsciously destroy your ability to maintain neutrality.

How does our mind associate?

Association is a natural feature in the way humans think. That is, our brain cells are connected in such a way that they automatically associate similar environmental information. The mind does this in two ways: In the first way, there is a natural tendency in the human mind to label people and things according to their characteristics and classify them into similar groups.

For example, if a person with a certain characteristic knows the inhabitants of a particular city, he automatically wants to attribute that characteristic to other people from that city. In the second method, the mind relates an event to another unrelated event. In this method, we relate smells, tastes, sounds or images to an experience and quality of energy.

To better understand this, consider a song that every couple listens to and takes back the mood of their wedding and engagement days, and in fact, this song evokes a lot of love and happy days for them. All the memories and feelings related to that period pass through their minds. In general, association is an automatic process in which information is organized in our mental system.

Most associations are unconscious; In fact, we are not aware of the formation of a link between environmental variables with the positive and negative energy of our mind. We may later see, hear, or smell things that make us feel a certain way, and we don’t remember when we connected this seemingly unrelated information to the initial events.

Distinctions are the separation factor of environmental information

Our senses do not give us the ability to get all the environmental information. Therefore, using a mechanism, we must choose those things that we want to be aware of and focus on. Everything we learn creates a loop of energy between our inner and outer environment that we call understanding.

So understanding means recognizing something through the 5 senses in the external environment, which we have already learned about. That is, our mental energy cooperates with these senses to separate, categorize, and organize environmental information based on distinctions we already know. In other words, to recognize something in the environment, it is necessary to already have information about it.

Otherwise, it will be labeled meaningless and we will not notice it. Therefore, in order to acquire the ability to recognize anything, including the recognition of opportunities in the market, we must create a suitable perceptual framework in ourselves. Distinctions are agents of separation of environmental information, and without them, information is too general.

For example, until a child is taught the difference between a spoon and a pencil, he does not distinguish between them and puts them both in his mouth. But after training, he can distinguish between the two. In this example, the spoon and the information that define it, establish an energy loop between the child’s internal and external environment, which is the factor that differentiates and identifies it in the environment, and until this distinction is made, the spoon and the pencil are both in the same category. More generally, they are, for example, things that can be put in the mouth.

Likewise, anything that exists in the external environment as a possibility or a possibility, but we do not yet recognize it, is because we have not yet learned to make the necessary distinction and therefore not fully understand it. we don’t Have you ever read a difficult text a second or third time? Do you notice something new every time? Why does this happen? Because with each reading, the frame of mind that makes you understand something in the text is developing.

At any moment, there is a fundamental difference between reality and what we perceive, and only some experienced people are able to understand these differences due to their different mental structure. The more we can clean up the information, the deeper we gain a deeper understanding of the cause and effect relationships between things.

How does experience lead to perception?

The first encounter with something always creates in our mind a memory, distinction or association that did not exist before. The meaning of this encounter is something completely unique, like learning a new word that we have not heard before. After we have learned something, our mental energy acts as a driving force on our senses to recognize it in the environment. In other words, we first experience a thing in the environment, then we will recognize it around us.

In order to better understand this issue, let’s take fear as an example. We feel fear when we identify something in the environment that we previously know as “painful”. In fact, this fear is caused by the same negative energy stored in our memories and mental associations. In simpler terms, if the situation is the same or similar to something we have already experienced, we can assign a meaning or label to it and thereby understand it.

Imagine that some people are present at an event. Each of them will later define that event differently. This means that everyone has experienced that event according to their mental structure. That is, he created his own special distinctions from that information and put his own special meaning on it.

In fact, each person’s version of a single event is unique because the way each human experiences the external environment depends on their understanding of the environment, and their understanding is also a function of what is in their mind now. So, contrary to what people think, most of what we experience from the environment originates from within us, not from the events themselves and the external environment.

The relationship between perception and emotion

The energy that determines our different feelings in different situations such as love or hate, anger, fear, etc. in many situations and conditions does not come from the environment, but these feelings are a part of our existence. Let me make it easier for you to understand this by mentioning a memory. In 1987, I was watching a TV show that often featured local actors doing comedy shows and hidden cameras.

In a part of this program, the producer placed a person with a placard in a busy street. On his placard it was written: “Free money – today only”. How many people do you think noticed the placard and came to collect money? Only 1 person. He also asked for 25 rials to board the bus. Except for him, not one person even came close until he had to shout: Does anyone want free money? I can’t spend that much money.

But again, everyone ignored him and passed in front of him. He even once pulled a passerby’s hand and asked him if he didn’t want free money. The passerby said to him: Let it be for later. Here, despite the fact that the environment has clearly and completely expressed its information, but only one person with his mental structure understood it, and that too in the amount of 25 rials. To be honest, people’s reaction was not that strange. Because we generally believe that free money is nowhere to be found.

Although that person presented his environment in a real way, that is, the writing on the placard was completely true and real, but he did not establish any connection with the mental environment of any of the passers-by. In other words, no one except that one person, believed that they could give free money to someone, and it caused them to look at that man as a madman. The conclusion we want to draw from this memory is that the environment did not play a role in determining and choosing the meaning taken by people from the phrase on the placard, and each person created their own personal experience of the existing conditions.

 

The role of beliefs in the mental system

Beliefs play many roles in our mental system. They create definitions in our minds and make distinctions, as well as manage our perception of the environment. But it should be known that what is understandable for a person is not necessarily all the things available and understandable in the environment. Remember the example of free money.

Any person can claim that his experience with money is the same as reality. What can prove otherwise? Instead of seeing their beliefs and experiences as beliefs about reality, people see them as pure reality, which is not too unnatural because beliefs establish a relationship with the environment that the best name that can be used to describe it is a closed loop. . Closed loop means that each part of the process by which we experience the environment supports other parts of the process, until everything seems obvious.

Beliefs tightly control information entering the brain so that only information that is consistent with them is allowed to enter. As a result, everything that enters the mind supports the experience resulting from previous beliefs. Until this loop is opened or a person does not know how to open it, he will not be exposed to new experiences and will be gaining experience every moment in the space of the previous closed loop.

In other words, we cannot experience what we do not believe unless we open our minds and expose ourselves to the possibility that what we believe may be only a small part of the whole reality that is presented in the environment. will be In fact, beliefs reduce our awareness of new data. but why? Because considering or accepting new information that contradicts previous data creates many choices that we normally don’t need to know.

Also, when there are too many choices in front of us, our mind will quickly become confused and confused due to the inability to process them. In fact, if beliefs did not exist, our mind would be like a television that wants to receive all the broadcasts and display them all at the same time. In other words, they have given us the possibility to tune our every moment into an information channel.

How does fear lead to the very event we avoid?

As we mentioned in the description of the importance of trading psychology, in the capital market everything starts from within ourselves. Fear, that is, a lot of negatively charged energy, has a tremendous ability to limit the range of information that can be considered. In other words, fear is a defense mechanism that aims to help us avoid things that we have learned to perceive as threats.

Consider a child who is bitten by a dog on his first encounter. He naturally considers all dogs as a threat to him and every time he encounters a dog, he feels panic and insecurity. But the reality he created in his mind about dogs is not the whole reality about them. This does not mean that all dogs are dangerous. On the contrary, only a small part of dogs are dangerous and the rest try to establish friendly relations with humans.

One way to avoid fear is to easily deny threatening news. Another way to create blind spots in our perception is to deliberately focus all of our attention on non-threatening information. These blind spots lead to very unpleasant results, especially in the trading environment. Suppose a trader enters into a trade with the fear of loss.

The type of information he will then focus on will depend on the direction of the price movement. If prices are hurting him as he thinks they are, he will focus on neutral information to avoid pain. Now, if the prices return to his favor, for his peace of mind, he exits the transaction with the first small profit and breathes a sigh of relief. Now imagine that this trader makes a profit in the very first trade. Then it focuses on completely different information.

This time, his fear is not of loss, but of the market going back and losing his profits. This time, unlike before, he focuses entirely on the information that confirms that the market is going to move against him, and again, regardless of what positions he will lose, he exits the trade with a small profit. This example proves why most traders, against advice, stop taking profits and allow losses to grow.

Fear makes us avoid possible choices without having any evidence, because when we are afraid of facing a certain category of information and block them, we actually eliminate some of the choices in front of us. In short, our choices are shaped by our minds, not the market environment. To avoid these blind spots, we must learn to trade without fear.

To succeed in the market, we must believe that without fear, we can win better. Because in this case you can better evaluate the situation and understand more choices. What we need to do is to free our minds from anything that might limit our focus and prevent a certain category of information from entering our minds.

Trading times and multitimes

  • The types of technical analysis based on the time frame are: short-term analysis, medium-term analysis and long-term analysis
  • In candlestick charts, each candle represents a time frame that can be changed from 1 minute to 5 minutes, a day and even a year.
  • Choosing the right time frame depends on the personality of the analyst, available time, trading strategy and also, the amount of capital of the trader
  • The smaller the trader’s capital, the less recommended it is to use long time frames
  • In markets with low trading volume, it is recommended to use larger time frames
  • The most appropriate way to use time frames is to use multiple time frames or multi-times.

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Choosing the right time frame when analyzing the price chart is one of the reasons for the success of traders and analysts. Because the inappropriate selection of the analysis time frame confuses the traders and prevents them from getting the expected returns. First of all, all analysts should choose the time frame of their analysis correctly, depending on their trading strategy and the behavior of the market in which they trade.

The types of technical analysis based on time frame are: short-term analysis, medium-term analysis and long-term analysis. In candlestick charts, each candle represents a time frame that can be changed from 1 minute to 5 minutes, a day and even a year. In the article “Introduction of Japanese candles” you can learn about the types of Japanese candles. For additional information, we suggest you read the technical analysis training article.

In the above figure, you can see the price chart of Kaveh trading symbol in the daily time frame, where each candle represents one day. To select a time frame, use the specified field in the chart. The right timeframe is different for every trader. Newbie traders who dream of getting rich fast generally use small time frames.

But these people fall into the trap of short-term fluctuations very quickly and lose their entire capital. Not using long-term timeframes results in missing valuable information that can be seen on a long-term chart. Also, some traders cannot achieve the necessary returns due to improper selection of the long-term time frame or may lose their entire capital due to high price fluctuations.

 

How to choose the right time frame in technical analysis

The right choice of time frame depends on the personality of the analyst, available time, trading strategy and also, the amount of capital of the trader. The smaller the trader’s capital, the less recommended it is to use long-term timeframes; Because although these timeframes can have large profit limits, they also require large loss limits.

Therefore, the amount of traders’ capital should have the necessary tolerance against market fluctuations. Choosing the right time frame and trading volume is very effective in technical analysis. Also, the trading market environment has a significant impact on choosing the right time frame. For example, in bilateral markets where the number of traders and trading volumes are high (in such a way that we see many buy and sell orders in a fraction of a second), some traders even choose a 1-minute time frame to take full advantage of market fluctuations. .

  Be sure to read this article: fundamental analysis training from zero to hundred

But in markets where the volume of transactions is small, it is recommended to use larger time frames. The most appropriate way to use time frames is to use multiple time frames or multi-times. In this way, in the long term, determine the direction of the price movement and the perspective of the market trend so that you can consider a wider time horizon. Then, use the short-term timeframe to choose the best entry and exit points. Because if the analyst knows how the price situation is in the long-term perspective, he will gradually gain a lot of mastery over the short-term periods.

When you only use a short-term chart, you will not be able to find out why the trend continues or reverses. Also, if you only use the long-term chart, you will not be able to make a proper entry and exit. In the table below, we have introduced the appropriate time frames for analyzing and identifying the direction of the general price movement and the appropriate entry and exit points according to experience, which can be a good guide for analyzing the chart in the appropriate time frame.

In the above chart, we can recognize the general upward movement in the three-month period and at the same time as the previous ceiling was broken. In this case, the buy position is achieved.

In the above chart, by changing the time period in the total index chart on a weekly basis, the best entry points can be well identified. In this article, we tried to have a quick overview of trading times and how to use multi-times. Now you can read further articles with deeper insight.

The effect of learning on the quality of traders’ experiences

  • The necessity of learning the method of adapting
    learning and its effect on the quality of our experiences.
    Previous knowledge becomes an obstacle to new knowledge.
    Our knowledge expires.

    There is a direct relationship between our ability
    to adapt ourselves to the environment and our level of satisfaction with life. Adaptation means that we can change ourselves with the distinctions that the environment presents to us about our nature at the same time as the constant changes of the environment. The more distinctions we make between the environment and its components, the more information we can understand, and the more we understand, the deeper our level of insight and understanding of our cause and effect relationships with the environment will be, and this will make us better interact with the environment. and be able to fulfill our wishes and reach our goals.


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    The fulfillment of desires creates a sense of happiness, joy, satisfaction and success in us, each of which reinforces the other in a positive cycle and causes mental growth and improvement. On the other hand, not achieving our desires creates a sense of disappointment, dissatisfaction and ruin in us, which draw strength from each other and lead to psychological pain and depression in a negative cycle. In order to fulfill our desires and achieve our goals, we must be able to create a balance between the psychological environment inside and the physical environment outside. Alignment means to understand how the external mechanism works.

    All our needs and desires are formed in the external environment and the environment responds to them in 3 ways. Either they are fulfilled 100%, or none of them are implemented, or some of them come true, which in any case can lead to complete satisfaction, pure dissatisfaction, and relative satisfaction with life, respectively.

    In order to succeed, we must interact with the external forces. The factors that determine our success rate are one of knowing the most appropriate steps to take according to the environmental conditions, and the second is the amount of our knowledge. Consider a circle with a diameter of 8 cm. We assume that the range inside this circle represents everything that can be known about all of existence. In this circle, we draw a smaller circle with a diameter of 2 cm.

    Consider this circle to represent the total body of knowledge that human generations have acquired since day one about their nature and their surroundings. If we put a dot inside the circle, it would be a fair representation of what each person considers as a person. We can put a dot for all the people in this circle and consider them as a symbol of the amount of knowledge of each person. Now the empty spaces between these points represent outdated knowledge and experiences that no one believes.

    Also, we can categorize the points and place them in similar thought groups. The empty space between the 2 circles represents everything that mankind has yet to learn about and shows that there are still many things to learn in the environment, but until we learn something about them, we cannot experience them.

    If an unknown force acts on us, we will dismiss it as unreal or label it as superstition until the day comes when it is investigated and its reality is known. New human discoveries and experiences cause the ever-increasing expansion of the same smaller circle.

    It can be said that the size of this circle in the Middle Ages was approximately one tenth of its current size. We have shown the world that we experience as a person with a single dot, and the circle around it represents all the things that a person could understand and experience if he knew all the knowledge and consciousness of the entire human being. But by comparing the small and large circle, we understand that this information and awareness is insignificant compared to what we have not yet learned and indicates the limitations within which we currently operate.

    In other words, there is always more information around us than what our limitations allow us to perceive and experience. Everyone can apply force to the surrounding environment according to the structure of their mental and psychological environment, and this force can have a pleasant or unpleasant effect on others. Therefore, as much as we cannot understand the behavioral aspects of people and the way they express themselves on the environment, we consider it as an unknown force and we do not know what effect it is going to have on us.

    We are not born with the insight that it is necessary to interact with the environment in a way that gives us satisfaction, and it is clear that none of us feels 100% satisfied with life. But the more we understand and know about the interacting forces behind our own behavior and the interacting forces in the environment, the easier it will be to meet the needs and reach the goals and the greater our sense of satisfaction.

    Learning and its effect on the quality of our experiences

    We have a need to know from the very beginning. This natural feeling, which we call curiosity, leads us to seek and learn new things. When we learn something or finish something, it no longer holds its initial appeal and we get bored with it. This heartbreak is an internal force that makes us seek to discover and learn new things. There is another force called attraction as a factor for dynamism and creation of new experiences.

    If we take away something that has attracted the child’s attention, he will immediately start to express his dissatisfaction by crying. This means that the child has not yet had enough of curiosity about that thing. In fact, crying is a form of expressing dissatisfaction with the lack of fulfillment of needs and desires to compensate for the lack of harmony between the external environment and our mental environment. When we become aware of all aspects of that thing, we usually lose interest in that subject and we try to look for something in the environment that attracts us to it.

    Another characteristic that makes us learn is that when we learn a skill, the steps that make up that skill are transferred to our subconscious levels and our mind opens up a new place to learn something new. Take driving skills, for example. We are taught this skill step by step and at each step our full attention is focused on learning that step and if we are distracted, we almost lose our concentration.

    But once we’ve mastered the skill, it’s easy to focus on other things while doing it. If we did not have such an innate quality and skills did not move from conscious to unconscious levels, it would be impossible for us to achieve skills beyond the capabilities of a child. By learning more and more of the knowledge and insight that the environment provides about itself, we improve the level of our relationship with the environment and improve the consistency and structure of our mental environment.

    Trading psychology course – desktop (blog)

    Every change that takes place inside simultaneously changes our attitude and understanding from the outside, because we can look at the world from another angle that was not clear to us before. You might think that the relationship between what we learn and our level of life satisfaction is clear, but it is not. Why ? Because if this was the case, now many people would not have a problem in establishing a connection between their dissatisfaction with life and not having a correct vision of life, and would not deny the existence of things that they should learn.

    It is true that a higher level of satisfaction is always achieved with new experience, but this only lasts until we reach a point where we have learned everything we need to know. At this point we can expect that all the results that happen in the external environment will exactly match what is happening in our mental environment. In short, whatever we ultimately experience is exactly proportional to our level of knowledge and insight and our ability to act on what we know, and nothing more.

    The more we allow ourselves to learn, the better we can assess the possibilities that will exist in the future. In fact, we must first accept that there are other futures for us, other than what we imagine. If we don’t accept this, we will never learn how to predict or identify other possibilities that could be more satisfying.

    If we always defend our current situation by defending our current beliefs and learnings, we will constantly feel that the environment is attacking us because the environment continuously invites us to learn new things and we reject them, and this creates We will feel anxious.

    A simple way to find out if you need to learn or not is to see how satisfied you are with your life. For example, if you don’t feel satisfied in your relationships, shouldn’t you consider it as a sign that you don’t have enough communication skills?

    The big problem is that we think we have all these skills and if we are not successful in our relationships, it is because it is impossible to have a good relationship in this era and time. are doing This vicious cycle will continue until the day we admit that there are skills to learn and take action to learn them.

    Previous knowledge becomes a barrier to new knowledge

    In the article on environmental information management by memories, associations and beliefs, we talked about the role of beliefs in the mental system. Acknowledging the need to learn new things is not as easy as it seems. It is one of the paradoxes of our life that we admit the things we don’t know or admit the things we know are not as effective as they should be.

    But how can we know that we don’t know? Especially when the things we know prevent new information from entering our minds. For example, when we have done a few small but profitable transactions in the stock market for the first time and we have formed the belief that trading is very easy.

    This belief closes our minds to the idea that it might be the hardest job in the world. As soon as an experience becomes part of our mental environment, it automatically becomes part of our identity, that is, it seems so real that it cannot be questioned. If our minds are not already biased, we are usually ready to learn what the environment gives us. That is, in the first encounter, we absorb all the information like a sponge.

    After entering the information in the mind, we block the way to its opposite information or by hiding, we prevent them from invading our mind. But know this point that defending the mind against the entry of new information requires spending a certain amount of energy, which we know as stress. This is the feeling we get when we consciously block information.

    In physical terms, stress is like walking against the wind. The wind here is the information that the environment wants to give us, and our body is our mind that has already learned something and is now resisting, and naturally we feel pressure in this situation.

    One of the ironies of our life is that everyone likes to be right and to take it for granted that what he has experienced and learned about the existential nature of things in the environment is the same as reality. But we should know that just because something enters our mind and takes place in it, it does not mean that it is really something valuable and can be useful in fulfilling our needs. A child cannot at all reflect on how to form his beliefs about the true nature of the environment, and his perceptions are strongly influenced by his environment.

    He considers his experiences as pure reality without any question and trusts the physical senses and emotions and the people around him such as his father, mother or teacher to such an extent that everything seems to him to be reality. The child does not understand that every belief that is formed in his mind will be considered as pure reality from now on and will cause other possible possibilities to be rejected from his mind.

    It is possible that some beliefs will gradually lose color by drawing his attention to new things, but if a large number of his initial beliefs have a negative charge, it will severely limit his understanding of possible and suitable situations.

    Consider a person who has been constantly humiliated by his parents since childhood. The beliefs that he forms about himself and establishes a relationship based on them with those around him, happen in an environment full of psychological pain. Being worthless is the perception he makes of himself in his mind, and this belief may accompany him even into adulthood and he cannot free himself from its destructive effects.

    We should know that the more we give the possibility that our version of understanding the environment is not as useful and correct as it should be, the more we prepare ourselves to learn from the environment, so we are better able to see the possibilities and opportunities that may be in front of us in the future. Let’s evaluate and we will definitely be more successful.

    Remember that if we knew as much as we imagine, we shouldn’t feel psychological pain, and precisely these psychological pains are the best indication that we still don’t know how to interact with the environment based on the facts that if We knew, we would definitely do this and the mental pain had no meaning anymore.

    Our knowledge expires
    Humans are naturally reluctant to collect information that contradicts their prior knowledge. But he should also keep in mind that the information he has not yet learned for any reason can provide him with more appropriate steps to meet his needs. Consider a child who is bitten by a dog at its first encounter. He naturally considers all dogs the same as that dog, and all dogs are dangerous to him.

    The child actively begins to label all dogs, and from then on, no matter how much the environment tries to convince him of his contrary belief, he will not accept because the association that all dogs are dangerous is automatically formed in his mind and nervous structure. Takes. On the contrary, if he has a good experience with dogs in the first encounter, he will never be afraid of dogs again until the day he has a bad experience.

    But in this case, the dog that caused his bitter experience will not be the same as other dogs and will not label all of them as dangerous, he will only learn to behave cautiously when dealing with dogs to make sure that the dog is not aggressive.

    You can teach a child whatever you want, regardless of whether these teachings are completely true, the child will learn them all and it will become a part of his identity. Usually we only challenge the value and validity of what we know when we “have to”. But what is the reason that forces us to do this? the pain! A trader who currently believes that trading is the easiest job in the world, when will he realize that trading is not easy? Of course, by enduring the pain of disappointment, when he sees that he is not able to achieve his goals.

    When the validity of a false belief is challenged, a world of new information appears before our eyes. Information that was right in front of our eyes and we didn’t notice it. This information teaches us how to better interact with the trading environment by increasing our level of communication and understanding. Learning means change. If we avoid internal change, there will be no change in our perception of the environment.

    We will never get out of the repetitive cycle of pain and dissatisfaction. In general, we continue to suffer until the pain exceeds our tolerance threshold and we have no other choice but to revise the way we manage our mind. We should also know that our knowledge becomes obsolete over time. Our mind will not change according to the changes in the environment, and no matter how harmful and ineffective our beliefs may be, they may accompany us for the rest of our lives.

    The surrounding environment is constantly changing and these changes are made in the market at a very high speed. They may not be obvious, but they are undoubtedly there. The problem is that we feel the changes but do not recognize them until the pain forces us to accept them. We must always be vigilant and know that if the things we have learned are no longer working, to update them as soon as we get the signs.